As I am writing these words I am mindful of a fanciful Arab proverb which says “Those who foretell the future lie, even if they tell the truth”. I guess, in a way, the proverb is right. The future is always so fluid and so uncertain that it can only be read truthfully in retrospect.
Take the case of eBooks for example. Touted as the saviour of the publishing industry and the democratising force in publishing, in equal measures, they have been used to call the death-knell for paper books so many times before that now, when it happens, hardly anyone bothers to listen. Yet eBooks are, despite the odds, beginning to make headway in publishing. More and more people choose to read one on Amazon’s Kindle, their smartphones or PDAs. The shrinking circulation of newspapers is promoting alternative, wireless, mobile delivery platforms as the format of choice and the inexorable march of technology appears to add its own pressures to the narrowing down of time. The arrival of the moment when eBooks will be the only viable route to publishing and publication.